Bro, sit down because I found out something that'll make you cross yourself! I told you peace in Lebanon was empty talk, bro, and look, it didn't even last a day! On Saturday, the ceasefire between Israel and Hezbollah, which started on Friday, turned to dust when the Israelis killed 16 people in Lebanon. 16, man! According to the Lebanese Civil Defense, the attacks were a reaction to over 50 projectiles fired by Hezbollah at Israeli forces in the south. And now I'm sitting here wondering: who still believes you can be calm over there?
Listen to what happened. The Lebanese National News Agency says Israeli planes and drones hit the south of the country and the Bekaa Valley. A local official recounted that one of the most horrific attacks destroyed a three-story building in the town of Barish, in the southern Tyre district. A father, a mother, and their two children died. No joke, I feel like kicking myself when I hear such things. And the Lebanese army says a soldier was killed on the Kfarrumman-Nabatieh road. Israel says they're defending themselves, that Hezbollah is to blame, but with so many civilians dead, I'm not buying that story.
Hezbollah, on the other hand, plays it cool: they say they remain committed to the ceasefire, but will respond if Israel tries to occupy territory. A senior Hezbollah official said clearly: they will not allow Israel "freedom of movement" on Lebanese soil. And so, bro, we're going in circles. The ceasefire agreement is part of a larger deal between the US and Iran, announced this week. It seems the Americans negotiated with the Iranians, but Israel, which wasn't at the table, opposes it. A US official confirmed the truce took effect Friday at 4:00 PM (13:00 GMT), but look, it didn't hold.
The Lebanese Health Ministry says since March 2, 3,912 people have been killed in Israeli attacks - doctors, women, children. On the other side, Israel reports 32 soldiers and four civilians dead. These numbers make me think of Mioara, who complains that bread got more expensive, but at least we're not living under bombs.
And now, here's the real kicker: journalist Ion Cristoiu, on the "Marius Tucă Show," compared the situation in Iran to ours. He said the son of the Supreme Leader, Mojtaba Khamenei, is a kind of Nicu Ceaușescu. "He will not continue what his father built," Cristoiu said. And he added that "the deal with the Devil is harder for them than for America." I can almost hear old Gheorghe from block 4 saying all dictators end up the same.
Geopolitical analysts believe this US-Iran deal is the end of the American unipolar order and the beginning of a multipolar world. Iran, though tactically beaten, is again a regional power. It seems Middle Eastern states will seek collective security arrangements, and the Palestinian cause might be rediscovered. An opinion piece on BZI says "America's defeat in Iran could be a victory" and that "the buds of a new world order sprout where the springs of history were."
So, bro, I say this: if America loses, what do we do? We've begged the Americans enough to let us into Schengen, and they kept putting us off. Now, if the world order changes, maybe we'll wake up with the Russians at our door. Well, I'm not afraid of anything, but I'd better go explain to Mioara why we're not buying an apartment in Dubai this year - because if war comes, we'll be left with a swollen lip.
